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Weekly Preview

Pro
Week 14 Matchups
To Infinity and Bijan -245Projected total212.2
Top seed vs. elimination pressure
Dr Patel Parikh MD MBA
dparikh3 · 5-8
+8.6 spread
29%win probability
101.8 projected
To Infinity and Bijan
kanzelm3 · 11-23W
-8.6 spread
71%win probability
110.4 projected

To Infinity and Bijan has won three straight, with a group led by Matthew Stafford and Travis Etienne protecting the top seed’s edge. Dr Patel Parikh MD MBA needs its lineup, paced early by Brock Bowers and later by Ladd McConkey, to keep the upset within reach.

Expected game flow
Dr Patel Parikh MD MBATo Infinity and Bijan
020406080100120KickoffThuSun 1 PMSun lateSNF / MNFEXPECTED POINTS

Projected starters

Lineups frozen at publication
PlayerNFLWindowProj.
Matthew StaffordQBTo Infinity and BijanLAR logoSNF / MNF18.7
Caleb WilliamsQBTo Infinity and BijanCHI logoSun 1 PM17.9
Geno SmithQBDr Patel Parikh MD MBALV logoThu16.4
Travis EtienneRBTo Infinity and BijanJAX logoSun 1 PM14.9
benweinfeld -186Projected total218.3
Spoiler vs. playoff positioning
lazy9669
Nacua Matata
lazy9669 · 3-10
+5.9 spread
35%win probability
106.2 projected
benweinfeld
benweinfeld
benweinfeld · 7-6
-5.9 spread
65%win probability
112.1 projected

benweinfeld has playoff position to protect, with Tony Pollard leading a balanced early group. Nacua Matata’s spoiler bid runs through a lineup led by Puka Nacua and Bo Nix, giving the underdog answers in both Sunday windows.

Expected game flow
Nacua Matatabenweinfeld
020406080100120KickoffThuSun 1 PMSun lateSNF / MNFEXPECTED POINTS

Projected starters

Lineups frozen at publication
PlayerNFLWindowProj.
Puka NacuaWRNacua MatataLAR logoSun late18.6
Jordan LoveQBbenweinfeldGB logoSun late17.2
Bucky IrvingRBNacua MatataTB logoSun 1 PM14.1
Tony PollardRBbenweinfeldTEN logoSun 1 PM13.7
Drake Maye Lover -223Projected total206.8
Must-win divisional game
NielGetsCarried
NielGetsCarried · 5-8
+7.4 spread
31%win probability
99.7 projected
Drake Maye Lover
hunterzogg · 8-5
-7.4 spread
69%win probability
107.1 projected

NielGetsCarried gets the first chance to apply pressure through a group led by Justin Jefferson and George Kittle. Drake Maye Lover can answer with Jahmyr Gibbs and Drake Maye heading a deeper Sunday lineup that is protecting a two-game winning streak.

Expected game flow
NielGetsCarriedDrake Maye Lover
020406080100120KickoffThuSun 1 PMSun lateSNF / MNFEXPECTED POINTS

Projected starters

Lineups frozen at publication
PlayerNFLWindowProj.
Jahmyr GibbsRBDrake Maye LoverDET logoSun 1 PM20.2
Justin JeffersonWRNielGetsCarriedMIN logoThu17.5
Drake MayeQBDrake Maye LoverNE logoSun late16.8
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRDrake Maye LoverDET logoSun 1 PM16.1
PICK 'EMProjected total223.2
Playoff seeding toss-up
nkjchamp
lol jerry jones
nkjchamp · 8-5
-0.4 spread
51%win probability
111.8 projected
vchak
vchak · 4-9
+0.4 spread
49%win probability
111.4 projected

lol jerry jones has won two straight while vchak has dropped two, but the line is nearly even. Their lineups are led by Justin Herbert and Jalen Hurts, opposing quarterbacks in the same real NFL game Monday night, with A.J. Brown and Tee Higgins helping set up the final act.

Expected game flow
lol jerry jonesvchak
020406080100120KickoffThuSun 1 PMSun lateSNF / MNFEXPECTED POINTS

Projected starters

Lineups frozen at publication
PlayerNFLWindowProj.
Jalen HurtsQBvchakPHI logoSNF / MNF21.4
Justin HerbertQBlol jerry jonesLAC logoSNF / MNF19.2
Saquon BarkleyRBlol jerry jonesPHI logoSNF / MNF17.6
A.J. BrownWRlol jerry jonesPHI logoSun 1 PM15.1
Quonspiracy Theorists -144Projected total229.3
Divisional playoff race
Quonspiracy Theorists
anantjindani · 7-6
-4.1 spread
59%win probability
116.7 projected
achak7
achak7 · 7-63L
+4.1 spread
41%win probability
112.6 projected

Quonspiracy gets the first shot in this battle of 7-6 teams through a group led by Joe Burrow and Michael Wilson. To stop a three-game slide, achak7 will count on its Sunday lineup, led by Kyren Williams with Dak Prescott still to come, to build the comeback.

Expected game flow
Quonspiracy Theoristsachak7
020406080100120KickoffThuSun 1 PMSun lateSNF / MNFEXPECTED POINTS

Projected starters

Lineups frozen at publication
PlayerNFLWindowProj.
Joe BurrowQBQuonspiracy TheoristsCIN logoThu20.8
Dak PrescottQBachak7DAL logoSNF / MNF19.3
Kyren WilliamsRBachak7LAR logoSun 1 PM15.4
CeeDee LambWRachak7DAL logoSNF / MNF15.0
scboom5 -133Projected total221.8
Playoff bubble matchup
2 Dolla Balla$
no14n · 5-8
+3.2 spread
43%win probability
109.3 projected
scboom5
scboom5
scboom5 · 8-5
-3.2 spread
57%win probability
112.5 projected

The 5-8 underdog’s upset case rests on a lineup led by Josh Allen and George Pickens across Sunday’s windows. scboom5 answers with a group paced by Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Breece Hall as it tries to extend a two-game winning streak.

Expected game flow
2 Dolla Balla$scboom5
020406080100120KickoffThuSun 1 PMSun lateSNF / MNFEXPECTED POINTS

Projected starters

Lineups frozen at publication
PlayerNFLWindowProj.
Josh AllenQB2 Dolla Balla$BUF logoSun 1 PM22.9
Sam DarnoldQBscboom5SEA logoSun late16.9
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWRscboom5SEA logoSun late15.7
James CookRB2 Dolla Balla$BUF logoSun 1 PM15.1
Opening Weekly Races
seeded odds
Highest score
Quonspiracy Theorists
24%
modeled opening leader
Lowest score
NielGetsCarried
27%
modeled opening leader
Closest game
lol jerry jones vs. vchak
31%
modeled opening leader
Biggest blowout
To Infinity and Bijan vs. Dr Patel Parikh
29%
modeled opening leader
Highest matchup total
Quonspiracy Theorists vs. achak7
23%
modeled opening leader
Lowest matchup total
NielGetsCarried vs. Drake Maye Lover
25%
modeled opening leader